DAVID FARBER
2018-06-24 07:59:20 UTC
Subject: Refugees as a stimulated collective effect, and possible outcomes
Date: June 24, 2018 at 2:42:08 PM GMT+9
Dear Dave and list,
Recent events In Europe, the USA, and other countries, in reference to refugees specifically, not conflated with immigration, shows a collective effect that cannot be ignored.
Refugees are also not individuals who are forced to move, by violence or otherwise; they show an stimulated cause (such as volcanic eruption, war, disruption of society), not spontaneously, and collective.
It is possible that refugees can be modelled, mutatis mutandis (making necessary alterations while not affecting the main point at issue), by the physics of fluids (rheology), as investigated in [1], with elements of mass hysteria present, and other noted points, characteristics of collective movements.
In that analysis, movement can be studied by a Deborah number, and other parameters, showing the resulting strategic weakness of the position of the preventors, even though amply tactically capable, and the collective effect of the refugees in overcoming any acceptable defense.
Recent separation of (mainly) a large and still covert number of mothers and children in the USA, followed similar patterns worldwide, of coercion and intimidaton as reaction forces to prevent refugees from being accepted, and stemming the flow.
Based on these observations, and the numbers of actors, both as refugees and as their preventors, it seems that the physics of fluids provides that the behavior can, indeed, be quite sudden, cumulative, and at first-sight surprising, and risks becoming catastrophic.
A catastrophic result is, for example, the quick overrun of barriers or defenses, visible in several places in Europe, where the existing infrastructure cannot hold the number of refugees, and rapid killing, directly or indirectly, is considered not socially acceptable as a solution.
This is a thixotropic effect that can happen in the USA south frontier, which, geographically presents a confluence of a large border with a deep source, as a supersonic nozzle, which divergence offers least resistance to expanding flow, and increasing porosity.
We suggest that this collective dynamics at the border cannot be effectively contained or prevented, excluding en masse killing. Although it can be delayed, but only at the expense of accumulating pressure, with more flow afterwards. It would help to create effective reduction of creation of refugees, in their original places or far way from the USA border, to prevent the flow from happening, in the first place.
Short of this solution, the system will tend to flow collectively, not individually, to relieve faster the pressure at the source, with ever reducing resistance to the divergent flow inward the USA south border.
Cheers, Ed Gerck
[1] https://www.researchgate.net/post/Could_social_collective_behavior_be_well-modelled_by_fluid_physics <https://www.researchgate.net/post/Could_social_collective_behavior_be_well-modelled_by_fluid_physics>
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-------------------------------------------Date: June 24, 2018 at 2:42:08 PM GMT+9
Dear Dave and list,
Recent events In Europe, the USA, and other countries, in reference to refugees specifically, not conflated with immigration, shows a collective effect that cannot be ignored.
Refugees are also not individuals who are forced to move, by violence or otherwise; they show an stimulated cause (such as volcanic eruption, war, disruption of society), not spontaneously, and collective.
It is possible that refugees can be modelled, mutatis mutandis (making necessary alterations while not affecting the main point at issue), by the physics of fluids (rheology), as investigated in [1], with elements of mass hysteria present, and other noted points, characteristics of collective movements.
In that analysis, movement can be studied by a Deborah number, and other parameters, showing the resulting strategic weakness of the position of the preventors, even though amply tactically capable, and the collective effect of the refugees in overcoming any acceptable defense.
Recent separation of (mainly) a large and still covert number of mothers and children in the USA, followed similar patterns worldwide, of coercion and intimidaton as reaction forces to prevent refugees from being accepted, and stemming the flow.
Based on these observations, and the numbers of actors, both as refugees and as their preventors, it seems that the physics of fluids provides that the behavior can, indeed, be quite sudden, cumulative, and at first-sight surprising, and risks becoming catastrophic.
A catastrophic result is, for example, the quick overrun of barriers or defenses, visible in several places in Europe, where the existing infrastructure cannot hold the number of refugees, and rapid killing, directly or indirectly, is considered not socially acceptable as a solution.
This is a thixotropic effect that can happen in the USA south frontier, which, geographically presents a confluence of a large border with a deep source, as a supersonic nozzle, which divergence offers least resistance to expanding flow, and increasing porosity.
We suggest that this collective dynamics at the border cannot be effectively contained or prevented, excluding en masse killing. Although it can be delayed, but only at the expense of accumulating pressure, with more flow afterwards. It would help to create effective reduction of creation of refugees, in their original places or far way from the USA border, to prevent the flow from happening, in the first place.
Short of this solution, the system will tend to flow collectively, not individually, to relieve faster the pressure at the source, with ever reducing resistance to the divergent flow inward the USA south border.
Cheers, Ed Gerck
[1] https://www.researchgate.net/post/Could_social_collective_behavior_be_well-modelled_by_fluid_physics <https://www.researchgate.net/post/Could_social_collective_behavior_be_well-modelled_by_fluid_physics>
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